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Gerten, D., Heck, V., Jägermeyr, J., Bodirsky, B. L., Fetzer, I., Jalava, M., Kummu, M., Lucht, W., Rockström, J., Schaphoff, S., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2020 (Online First)): Feeding ten billion people is possible within four terrestrial planetary boundaries. - Nature Sustainability
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Gleeson, T., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Porkka, M., Zipper, S. C., Jaramillo, F., Gerten, D., Fetzer, I., Cornell, S. E., Piemontese, L., Gordon, L., Rockström, J., Oki, T., Sivapalan, M., Wada, Y., Brauman, K. A., Flörke, M., Bierkens, M. F. P., Lehner, B., Keys, P., Kummu, M., Wagener, T., Dadson, S., Troy, T. J., Steffen, W., Falkenmark, M., Famiglietti, J. S. (2020 (Online First)): Illuminating water cycle modifications and Earth System resilience in the Anthropocene. - Water Resources Research
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Matthias, V., Kretschmer, M. (2020 (Online First)): The influence of stratospheric wave reflection on North American cold spells. - Monthly Weather Review
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Otto, I., Donges, J. F., Cremades, R., Bhowmik, A., Hewitt, R. J., Lucht, W., Rockström, J., Allerberger, F., McCaffrey, M., Doe, S. S. P., Lenferna, A., Morán, N., Vuuren, D. P. van, Schellnhuber, H. J. (2020 (Online First)): Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
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Thonicke, K., Billing, M., Bloh, W. von, Sakschewski, B., Niinemets, Ü., Peñuelas, J., Cornelissen, J. H. C., Onoda, Y., Bodegom, P. van, Schaepman, M. E., Schneider, F. D., Walz, A. (2020 (Online First)): Simulating functional diversity of European natural forests along climatic gradients. - Journal of Biogeography
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Zipper, S. C., Jaramillo, F., Wang-Erlandsson, L., Cornell, S. E., Gleeson, T., Porkka, M., Häyhä, T., Crépin, A.-S., Fetzer, I., Gerten, D., Hoff, H., Matthews, N., Ricaurte-Villota, C., Kummu, M., Wada, Y., Gordon, L. (2020 (Online First)): Integrating the water planetary boundary with water management from local to global scales. - Earth’s Future
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Donges, J. F., Heitzig, J., Barfuss, W., Kassel, J. A., Kittel, T., Kolb, J. J., Kolster, T., Müller-Hansen, F., Otto, I. M., Wiedermann, M., Zimmerer, K. B., Lucht, W. (2020 (Accepted March)): Earth system modelling with complex dynamic human societies: the copan:CORE World-Earth modeling framework. - Earth System Dynamics
Database | 10.5194/esd-2017-126 | PDF
Guillaume, J. H. A., Sojamo, S., Porkka, M., Gerten, D., Jalava, M., Lankoski, L., Lehikoinen, E., Lettenmeier, M., Pfister, S., Usva, K., Wada, Y., Kummu, M. (2020 (Accepted March)): Giving legs to handprint thinking: foundations for evaluating the good we do. - Earth's Future . CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
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Krönke, J., Wunderling, N., Winkelmann, R., Staal, A., Stumpf, B., Tuinenburg, O. A., Donges, J. F. (2020 (Accepted March)): Dynamics of tipping cascades on complex networks. - Physical Review E
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Talento, S., Osborn, T. J., Joshi, M., Ratna, S. B., Luterbacher, J. (2020 (Accepted March)): Response of the Asian summer Monsoons to a high-latitude thermal forcing: mechanisms and nonlinearities. - Climate Dynamics
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Wunderling, N., Stumpf, B., Krönke, J., Staal, A., Tuinenburg, O. A., Winkelmann, R., Donges, J. F. (2020 (Accepted March)): How motifs condition critical thresholds for tipping cascades in complex networks: Linking Micro- to Macro-scales. - Chaos
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Albrecht, T., Winkelmann, R., Levermann, A. (2020): Glacial-cycle simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM) - Part 1: Boundary conditions and climatic forcing. - The Cryosphere, 14, 2, 599-632
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Albrecht, T., Winkelmann, R., Levermann, A. (2020): Glacial-cycle simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM) - Part 2: Parameter ensemble analysis. - The Cryosphere, 14, 2, 633-656
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Andrijevic, M., Crespo Cuaresma, J., Muttarak, R., Schleussner, C.-F. (2020): Governance in socioeconomic pathways and its role for future adaptive capacity. - Nature Sustainability, 3, 1, 35-41
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Ide, T., Brzoska, M., Donges, J. F., Schleussner, C.-F. (2020): Multi-method evidence for when and how climate-related disasters contribute to armed conflict risk. - Global Environmental Change, 62, Art. 102063
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Kornhuber, K., Coumou, D., Vogel, E., Lesk, C., Donges, J. F., Lehmann, J., Horton, R. (2020): Amplified Rossby waves enhance risk of concurrent heatwaves in major breadbasket regions. - Nature Climate Change, 10, 1, 48-53
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Kundzewicz, Z. W., Matczak, P., Otto, I. M., Otto, P. E. (2020): From 'atmosfear' to climate action. - Environmental Science and Policy, 105, 75-83
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Landwehrs, J. P., Feulner, G., Hofmann, M., Petri, S. (2020): Climatic fluctuations modeled for carbon and sulfur emissions from end-Triassic volcanism. - Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 537, Art. 116174
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Levermann, A., Winkelmann, R., Albrecht, T., Goelzer, H., Golledge, N. R., Greve, R., Huybrechts, P., Jordan, J., Leguy, G., Martin, D., Morlighem, M., Pattyn, F., Pollard, D., Quiquet, A., Rodehacke, C., Seroussi, H., Sutter, J., Zhang, T., Van Breedam, J., Calov, R., DeConto, R., Dumas, C., Garbe, J., Gudmundsson, G. H., Hoffman, M. J., Humbert, A., Kleiner, T., Lipscomb, W. H., Meinshausen, M., Ng, E., Nowicki, S. M. J., Perego, M., Price, S. F., Saito, F., Schlegel, N.-J., Sun, S., Wal, R. S. W. van de (2020): Projecting Antarctica's contribution to future sea level rise from basal ice shelf melt using linear response functions of 16 ice sheet models (LARMIP-2). - Earth System Dynamics, 11, 1, 35-76
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Mahecha, M. D., Gans, F., Brandt, G., Christiansen, R., Cornell, S. E., Fomferra, N., Kraemer, G., Peters, J., Bodesheim, P., Camps-Valls, G., Donges, J. F., Dorigo, W., Estupinan-Suarez, L. M., Gutierrez-Velez, V. H., Gutwin, M., Jung, M., Londono, M. C., Miralles, D. G., Papastefanou, P., Reichstein, M. (2020): Earth system data cubes unravel global multivariate dynamics. - Earth System Dynamics, 11, 1, 201-234
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Meng, J., Fan, J., Ludescher, J., Agarwal, A., Chen, X., Bunde, A., Kurths, J., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2020): Complexity-based approach for El Niño magnitude forecasting before the spring predictability barrier. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 117, 1, 177-183
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Stephan, C. C., Schmidt, H., Zülicke, C., Matthias, V. (2020): Oblique gravity wave propagation during sudden stratospheric warmings. - Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 125, 1, Art. e2019JD031528
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Thonicke, K., Bahn, M., Lavorel, S., Bardgett, R., Erb, K., Giamberini, M., Reichstein, M., Vollan, B., Rammig, A. (2020): Advancing the understanding of adaptive capacity of social-ecological systems to absorb climate extremes [Commentary]. - Earth's Future, 8, 2, Art. e2019EF001221
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Yamazaki, Y., Matthias, V., Miyoshi, Y., Stolle, C., Siddiqui, T., Kervalishvili, G., Lastovicka, J., Kozubek, M., Ward, W., Themens, D. R., Kristoffersen, S., Alken, P. (2020): September 2019 Antarctic sudden stratospheric warming: quasi-6-day wave burst and ionospheric effects. - Geophysical Research Letters, 47, 1, Art. e2019GL086577
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Gailing, L., Bues, A., Kern, K., Röhring, A. (2019 (Online First)): Socio-spatial dimensions in energy transitions: Applying the TPSN framework to case studies in Germany. - Environment and Planning A
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Nazari Nooghabi, S., Fleskens, L., Sietz, D., Azadi, H. (2019 (Online First)): Typology of vulnerability of wheat farmers in Northeast Iran and implications for their adaptive capacity. - Climate and Development
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Ewers, B., Donges, J. F., Heitzig, J., Peterson, S. (2019 (Accepted March)): Divestment may burst the carbon bubble if investors' beliefs tip to anticipating strong future climate policy. - Nature Climate Change
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Arp, C. D., Whitman, M. S., Jones, B. M., Nigro, D. A., Alexeev, V. A., Gädeke, A., Fritz, S., Daanen, R., Liljedahl, A. K., Adams, F. J., Gaglioti, B. V., Grosse, G., Heim, K. C., Beaver, J. R., Cai, L., Engram, M., Uher-Koch, H. R. (2019): Ice roads through lake-rich Arctic watersheds: Integrating climate uncertainty and freshwater habitat responses into adaptive management. - Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research, 51, 1, 9-23
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Biemans, H., Siderius, C., Lutz, A. F., Nepal, S., Ahmad, B., Hassan, T., Bloh, W. von, Wijngaard, R. R., Wester, P., Shrestha, A. B., Immerzeel, W. W. (2019): Importance of snow and glacier meltwater for agriculture on the Indo-Gangetic Plain. - Nature Sustainability, 2, 7, 594-601
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Brugger, J., Hofmann, M., Petri, S., Feulner, G. (2019): On the sensitivity of the Devonian climate to continental configuration, vegetation cover, orbital configuration, CO 2 concentration, and insolation. - Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 34, 8, 1375-1398
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Capron, E., Rovere, A., Austermann, J., Axford, Y., Barlow, N. L. M., Carlson, A. E., Vernal, A. de, Dutton, A., Kopp, R. E., McManus, J. F., Menviel, L., Otto-Bliesner, B. L., Robinson, A., Shakun, J. D., Tzedakis, P. C., Wolff, E. W. (2019): Challenges and research priorities to understand interactions between climate, ice sheets and global mean sea level during past interglacials. - Quaternary Science Reviews, 219, 308-311
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Cholo, T. C., Fleskens, L., Sietz, D., Peerlings, J. (2019): Land fragmentation, climate change adaptation, and food security in the Gamo Highlands of Ethiopia. - Agricultural Economics, 50, 1, 39-49
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Drüke, M., Forkel, M., Bloh, W. von, Sakschewski, B., Cardoso, M., Bustamante, M., Kurths, J., Thonicke, K. (2019): Improving the LPJmL4-SPITFIRE vegetation-fire model for South America using satellite data. - Geoscientific Model Development, 12, 12, 5029-5054
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Eisenack, K., Villamayor-Tomas, S., Epstein, G., Kimmich, C., Magliocca, N., Manuel-Navarrete, D., Oberlack, C., Roggero, M., Sietz, D. (2019): Design and quality criteria for archetype analysis. - Ecology and Society, 24, 3, Art. 6
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Fan, J., Zhou, D., Shekhtman, L. M., Shapira, A., Hofstetter, R., Marzocchi, W., Ashkenazy, Y., Havlin, S. (2019): Possible origin of memory in earthquakes: Real catalogs and an epidemic-type aftershock sequence model. - Physical Review E, 99, Art. 042210
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Feldmann, J., Levermann, A., Mengel, M. (2019): Stabilizing the West Antarctic Ice Sheet by surface mass deposition. - Science Advances, 5, Art. eaaw4132
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Forkel, M., Drüke, M., Thurner, M., Dorigo, W., Schaphoff, S., Thonicke, K., Bloh, W. von, Carvalhais, N. (2019): Constraining modelled global vegetation dynamics and carbon turnover using multiple satellite observations. - Nature Scientific Reports, 9, Art. 18757
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Guo, S., Zhou, D., Fan, J., Tong, Q., Zhu, T., Lv, W., Li, D., Havlin, S. (2019): Identifying the most influential roads basedon traffic correlation networks. - The European Physical Journal - Data Science, 8, Art. 28
Database | 10.1140/epjds/s13688-019-0207-7 | PDF
Hagedorn, G., Kalmus, P., Mann, M., Vicca, S., Van den Berge, J., Ypersele, J.-P. van, Bourg, D., Rotmans, J., Kaaronen, R., Rahmstorf, S., Kromp-Kolb, H., Kirchengast, G., Knutti, R., Seneviratne, S. I., Thalmann, P., Cretney, R., Green, A., Anderson, K., Hedberg, M., Nilsson, D., Kuttner, A., Hayhoe, K. (2019): Concerns of young protesters are justified. - Science, 364, 6436, 139-140
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Hagedorn, G., Loew, T., Seneviratne, S. I., Lucht, W., Beck, M.-L., Hesse, J., Knutti, R., Quaschning, V., Schleimer, J.-H., Mattauch, L., Breyer, C., Hübener, H., Kirchengast, G., Chodura, A., Clausen, J., Creutzig, F., Darbi, M., Daub, C.-H., Ekardt, F., Göpel, M., Hardt, J. N., Hertin, J., Hickler, T., Köhncke, A., Köster, S., Krohmer, J., Kromp-Kolb, H., Leinfelder, R., Mederake, L., Neuhaus, M., Rahmstorf, S., Schmidt, C., Schneider, C., Schneider, G., Seppelt, R., Spindler, U., Springmann, M., Staab, K., Stocker, T. F., Steininger, K., Hirschhausen, E. von, Winter, S., Wittau, M., Zens, J. (2019): The concerns of the young protesters are justified: A statement by Scientists for Future concerning the protests for more climate protection. - GAiA - Ecological Perspectives for Science and Society, 28, 2, 79-87
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Heinke, J., Müller, C., Lannerstad, M., Gerten, D., Lucht, W. (2019): Freshwater resources under success and failure of the Paris climate agreement. - Earth System Dynamics, 10, 2, 205-217
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Hewitt, R. J., Bradley, N., Compagnucci, A. B., Barlagne, C., Ceglarz, A., Cremades, R., McKeen, M., Otto, I. M., Slee, B. (2019): Social innovation in community energy in Europe: a review of the evidence. - Frontiers in Energy Research, 7, Art. 31
Database | 10.3389/fenrg.2019.00031 | PDF
Hoff, H., Alrahaife, S. A., El Hajj, R., Lohr, K., Mengoub, F. E., Farajalla, N., Fritzsche, K., Jobbins, G., Özerol, G., Schultz, R., Ulrich, A. (2019): A nexus approach for the MENA region - from concept to knowledge to action. - Frontiers in Environmental Sciences, 7, Art. 48
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Hofmann, M., Mathesius, S., Kriegler, E., Vuuren, D. P. van, Schellnhuber, H. J. (2019): Strong time dependence of ocean acidification mitigation by atmospheric carbon dioxide removal. - Nature Communications, 10, Art. 5592
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Kornhuber, K., Osprey, S., Coumou, D., Petri, S., Petoukhov, V., Rahmstorf, S., Gray, L. (2019): Extreme weather events in early summer 2018 connected by a recurrent hemispheric wave-7 pattern. - Environmental Research Letters, 14, Art. 054002
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Kurths, J., Agarwal, A., Shukla, R., Marwan, N., Rathinasamy, M., Caesar, L., Krishnan, R., Merz, B. (2019): Unravelling the spatial diversity of Indian precipitation teleconnections via a non-linear multi-scale approach. - Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 26, 3, 251-266
Database | 10.5194/npg-26-251-2019 | PDF
Lenton, T. M., Rockström, J., Gaffney, O., Rahmstorf, S., Richardson, K., Steffen, W., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2019): Climate tipping points - too risky to bet against [Comment]. - Nature, 575, 7784, 592-595
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Levermann, A., Feldmann, J. (2019): Scaling of instability timescales of Antarctic outlet glaciers based on one-dimensional similitude analysis. - The Cryosphere, 13, 6, 1621-1633
Database | 10.5194/tc-13-1621-2019 | PDF
Liu, X., Liu, W., Yang, H., Tang, Q., Flörke, M., Masaki, Y., Müller Schmied, H., Ostberg, S., Pokhrel, Y., Satoh, Y., Wada, Y. (2019): Multimodel assessments of human and climate impacts on mean annual streamflow in China. - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23, 3, 1245-1261
Database | 10.5194/hess-23-1245-2019 | PDF
Ludescher, J., Yuan, N., Bunde, A. (2019): Detecting the statistical significance of the trends in the Antarctic sea ice extent: an indication for a turning point. - Climate Dynamics, 53, 1-2, 237-244
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Lutz, F., Herzfeld, T., Heinke, J., Rolinski, S., Schaphoff, S., W. von, Bloh, Stoorvogel, J. J., Müller, C. (2019): Simulating the effect of tillage practices with the global ecosystem model LPJmL (version 5.0-tillage). - Geoscientific Model Development, 12, 6, 2419-2440
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Müller-Hansen, F., Heitzig, J., Donges, J. F., Cardoso, M. F., Dalla-Nora, E. L., Andrade, P., Kurths, J., Thonicke, K. (2019): Can intensification of cattle ranching reduce deforestation in the Amazon? Insights from an agent-based social-ecological model. - Ecological Economics, 159, 198-211
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Schewe, J., Heinke, J., Gerten, D., Haddeland, I., Arnell, N. W., Clark, D. B., Dankers, R., Eisner, S., Fekete, B. M., Colón-González, F. J., Gosling, S. N., Kim, H., Liu, X., Masaki, Y., Portmann, F. T., Satoh, Y., Stacke, T., Tang, Q., Wada, Y., Wisser, D., Albrecht, T., Frieler, K., Piontek, F., Warszawski, L., Kabat, P. (2014): Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 111, 9, 3245-3250
Database | 10.1073/pnas.1222460110 |
Schleussner, C. F., Levermann, A., Meinshausen, M. (2014): Probabilistic projections of the Atlantic overturning. - Climatic Change, 127, 3-4, 579-586
Database | 10.1007/s10584-014-1265-2. |
Schleussner, C. F., Runge, J., Lehmann, J., Levermann, A. (2014): The role of the North Atlantic overturning and deep ocean for multi-decadal global-mean-temperature variability. - Earth System Dynamics, 5, 1, 103-115
Database | 10.5194/esd-5-103-2014 | PDF
Simon, A. A., Wong, M. H., Rogers, J. H., Orton, G. S., de Pater, I., Asay-Davis, X., Carlson, R. W., Marcus, P. S. (2014): Dramatic change in Jupiter’s great red spot from spacecraft observations. - Astrophysical Journal Letters, 797, L31
Database | 10.1088/2041-8205/797/2/L31 |
Walz, A., Braendle, J. M., Lang, D. J ., Brand, F., Briner, S., Elkin, C., Hirschi, C., Huber, R., Lischke, H., Schmatz, D. R. (2014): Experience from downscaling IPCC-SRES scenarios to specific national-level focus scenarios for ecosystem service management. - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 86, 21-32
Database | 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.08.014 |
Weis, P., Driesner, T., Coumou, D., Geiger, S. (2014): Hydrothermal, multiphase convection of H2O-NaCl fluids from ambient to magmatic temperatures: a new numerical scheme and benchmarks for code comparison. - Geofluids, 14, 3, 347-371
Database | 10.1111/gfl.12080 |
Willeit, M., Ganopolski, A., Dalmonech, D., Foley, A. M., Feulner, G. (2014): Time-scale and state dependence of the carbon-cycle feedback to climate. - Climate Dynamics, 42, 7-8, 1699-1713
Database | 10.1007/s00382-014-2102-z |
Willeit, M., Ganopolski, A., Feulner, G. (2014): Asymmetry and uncertainties in biogeophysical climate–vegetation feedback over a range of CO2 forcings. - Biogeosciences, 11, 1, 17-32
Database | 10.5194/bg-11-17-2014 | PDF
Yue, C., Ciais, P., Cadule, P., Thonicke, K., Archibald, S., Poulter, B., Hao, W. M., Hantson, S., Mouillot, F., Friedlingstein, P., Maignan, F., Viovy, N. (2014): Modelling fires in the terrestrial carbon balance by incorporating SPITFIRE into the global vegetation model ORCHIDEE - Part 1: Simulating historical global burned area and fire regime. - Geoscientific Model Development, 7, 2, 2747-2767
Database | 10.5194/gmd-7-2747-2014 |
Zemp, D. C., Schleussner, C.-F., Barbosa, H. M. J., Van der Ent, R. J., Donges, J. F., Heinke, J., Sampaio, G., Rammig, A. (2014): On the importance of cascading moisture recycling in South America. - Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 14, 13337-13359
Database | 10.5194/acp-14-13337-2014 |
Zemp, D. C., Wiedermann, M., Kurths, J., Rammig, A., Donges, J. F. (2014): Node-weighted measures for complex networks with directed and weighted edges for studying continental moisture recycling. - Europhysics Letters (epl), 107, 58005
Database | 10.1209/0295-5075/107/58005 |
Zscheischler, J., Mahecha, M., von Buttlar, J., Harmeling, S., Jung, M., Rammig, A., Randerson, J., Schölkopf, B., Seneviratne, S., Tomelleri, E., Zaehle, S., Reichstein, M. (2014): Few extreme events dominate global interannual variability in gross primary production. - Environmental Research Letters, 9, 035001
Database | 10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/035001 |
Zscheischler, J., Reichstein, M., Harmeling, S., Rammig, A., Tomelleri, E., Mahecha, M. D. (2014): Extreme events in gross primary production: a characterization across continents. - Biogeosciences, 11, 11, 2909-2924
Database | 10.5194/bg-11-2909-2014 | PDF
Acosta, L. A., Enano, N. H. jr., Magcale-Macandog, D. B., Engay, K. G., Herrera, M. N. Q., Nicopior, O. B. S., Sumilang, M. I. V., Eugenio, J. M. A., Lucht, W. (2013): How sustainable is bioenergy production in the Philippines? A conjoint analysis of knowledge and opinions of people with different typologies. - Applied Energy, 102, 241-253
Database | 10.1016/j.apenergy.2012.09.063 |
Acosta, L. A., Galli, F. (2013): Crisis Probability Curves (CPCs): A model for assessing vulnerability thresholds across space and over time. - Journal of Environmental Science and Management, 16, 1, 36-49 . Journal is produced semi-annually by the University of the Philippines Los Baños (UPLB)
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Acosta, L. A., Klein, R. J. T., Reidsma, P., Metzger, M. J., Rounsevell, M. D. A., Leemans, R., Schröter, D. (2013): A spatially explicit scenario-driven model of adaptive capacity to global change in Europe. - Global Environmental Change, 23, 5, 1211-1224
Database | 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.03.008 |
Becker, A. H., Acciaro, M., Asariotis, R., Cabrera, E., Cretegny, L., Crist, P., Esteban, M., Mather, A., Messner, S., Naruse, S., Ng, A. K. Y., Rahmstorf, S., Savonis, M., Song, D.-W., Stenek, V., Velegrakis, A. F. (2013): A note on climate change adaptation for seaports: a challenge for global ports, a challenge for global society. - Climatic Change, 120, 4, 683-695
Database | 10.1007/s10584-013-0843-z |
Biemans, H., Speelman, L. H., Ludwig, F., Moors, E. J., Wiltshire, A. J., Kumar, P., Gerten, D., Kabat, P. (2013): Future water resources for food production in five South Asian river basins and potential for adaptation - A modeling study. - Science of The Total Environment, 468-469, Suppl. 1, S117-S131
Database | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2013.05.092 |
Bindschadler, R. A., Nowicki, S., Abe-Ouchi, A., Aschwanden, A., Choi, H., Fastook, J., Granzow, G., Greve, R., Gutowski, G., Herzfeld, U., Jackson, C., Johnson, J., Khroulev, C., Levermann, A., Lipscomb, W. H., Martin, M. A., Morlighem, M., Parizek, B. R., Pollard, D., Price, S. F., Ren, D., Saito, F., Sato, T., Seddik, H., Seroussi, H., Takahashi, K., Walker, R., Li Wang, W. (2013): Ice-sheet model sensitivities to environmental forcing and their use in projecting future sea level (The SeaRISE Project). - Journal of Glaciology, 59, 214, 195-224
Database | 10.3189/2013JoG12J125 |
Bittermann, K., Rahmstorf, S., Perrette, M., Vermeer, M. (2013): Predictability of twentieth century sea-level rise from past data. - Environmental Research Letters, 8, 014013
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Born, A., Stocker, T. F., Raible, C. C., Levermann, A. (2013): Is the Atlantic subpolar gyre bistable in comprehensive coupled climate models?. - Climate Dynamics, 40, 11-12, 2993-3007
Database | 10.1007/s00382-012-1525-7 |
Brandt, J. S., Haynes, M. A., Kümmerle, T., Waller, D. M., Radeloff, V. C. (2013): Regime shift on the roof of the world: Alpine meadows converting to shrublands in the southern Himalayas. - Biological Conservation, 158, 116-127
Database | 10.1016/j.biocon.2012.07.026 |
Coetto, E., Di Candilo, M., Castelli, F., Badeck, F.-W., Rizza, F., Soave, C., Volta, A., Villani, G., Marletto, V. (2013): Comparing solar radiation interception and use efficiency for the energy crops giant reed (Arundo donax L.) and sweet sorghum (Sorghum bicolor L. Moench). - Field Crops Research, 149, 159-166
Database | 10.1016/j.fcr.2013.05.002 |
Coumou, D., Robinson, A. (2013): Historic and future increase in the global land area affected by monthly heat extremes. - Environmental Research Letters, 8, 034018
Database | 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034018 | PDF
Coumou, D., Robinson, A., Rahmstorf, S. (2013): Global increase in record-breaking monthly-mean temperatures. - Climatic Change, 118, 3-4, 771-782
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Dass, P., Müller, C., Brovkin, V., Cramer, W. (2013): Can bioenergy cropping compensate high carbon emissions from large-scale deforestation of high latitudes?. - Earth System Dynamics, 4, 2, 409-424
Database | 10.5194/esd-4-409-2013 | PDF
Davie, J. C. S., Falloon, P. D., Kahana, R., Dankers, R., Betts, R., Portmann, F. T., Wisser, D., Clark, D. B., Ito, A., Masaki, Y., Nishina, K., Fekete, B., Tessler, Z., Wada, Y., Liu, X., Tang, Q-, Hagemann, S., Stacke, T., Pavlick, R., Schaphoff, S., Gosling, S. N., Franssen, W., Arnell, N. (2013): Comparing projections of future changes in runoff from hydrological and biome models in ISI-MIP. - Earth System Dynamics, 4, 2, 359-374
Database | 10.5194/esd-4-359-2013 | PDF
Dierenbach, J., Badeck, F.-W., Schaber, J. (2013): The plant phenological online database (PPODB): an online database for long-term phenological data. - International Journal of Biometeorology, 57, 5, 805-812
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Donges, J. F., Donner, R. V., Kurths, J. (2013): Testing time series irreversibility using complex network methods. - Europhysics Letters (epl), 102, 10004
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Eby, M., Weaver, A. J., Alexander, K., Zickfeld, K., Abe-Ouchi, A., Cimatoribus, A. A., Crespin, E., Drijfhout, S. S., Edwards, N. R., Eliseev, A. V., Feulner, G., Fichefet, T., Forest, C. E., Goosse, H., Holden, P. B., Joos, F., Kawamiya, M., Kicklighter, D., Kienert, H., Matsumoto, K., Mokhov, I. I., Monier, E., Olsen, S. M., Pedersen, J. O. P., Perrette, M., Philippon-Berthier, G., Ridgwell, A., Schlosser, A., Schneider von Deimling, T., Shaffer, G., Smith, R. S., Spahni, R., Sokolov, A. P., Steinacher, M., Tachiiri, K., Tokos, K., Yoshimori, M., Zeng, N., Zhao, F. (2013): Historical and idealized climate model experiments: an EMIC intercomparison. - Climate of the Past, 9, 3, 1111-1140
Database | 10.5194/cp-9-1111-2013 | PDF
Eliseev, A. V., Coumou, D., Chernokulsky, A. V., Petoukhov, V., Petri, S. (2013): Scheme for calculation of multi-layer cloudiness and precipitation for climate models of intermediate complexity. - Geoscientific Model Development, 6, 5, 1745-1765
Database | 10.5194/gmd-6-1745-2013 | PDF
Fader, M., Gerten, D., Krause, M., Lucht, W., Cramer, W. (2013): Spatial decoupling of agricultural production and consumption: quantifying dependences of countries on food imports due to domestic land and water constraints. - Environmental Research Letters, 8, 014046
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Feulner, G. (2013): On the relation between solar activity and clear-sky terrestrial irradiance. - Solar Physics, 282, 2, 615-627
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Feulner, G., Rahmstorf, S., Levermann, A., Volkwardt, S. (2013): On the origin of the surface air temperature difference between the hemispheres in earth's present-day climate. - Journal of Climate, 26, 18, 7136-7150
Database | 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00636.1 |
Foley, A. M., Dalmonech, D., Friend, A. D., Aires, F., Archibald, A. T., Bartlein, P., Bopp, L., Chappellaz, J., Cox, P., Edwards, N. R., Feulner, G., Friedlingstein, P., Harrison, S. P., Hopcroft, P. O., Jones, C. D., Kolassa, J., Levine, J. G., Prentice, I. C., Pyle, J., Vázquez Riveiros, N., Wolff, E. W., Zaehle, S. (2013): Evaluation of biospheric components in Earth system models using modern and palaeo-observations: the state-of-the-art. - Biogeosciences, 10, 12, 8305-8328
Database | 10.5194/bg-10-8305-2013 | PDF
Frieler, K., Meinshausen, M., Golly, A., Mengel, M., Lebek, K., Donner, S. D., Hoegh-Guldberg, O. (2013): Limiting global warming to 2°C is unlikely to save most coral reefs. - Nature Climate Change, 3, 2, 165-170
Database | 10.1038/nclimate1674 |
Gerten, D. (2013): A vital link: Water and vegetation in the Anthropocene. - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17, 10, 3841-3852
Database | 10.5194/hess-17-3841-2013 | PDF
Gerten, D. (2013): Sozialwissenschaftliche Klimaforschung: Mehr Visionen wagen! [Replik]. - GAiA - Ecological Perspectives for Science and Society, 22, 3, 156-159
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Gerten, D., Hoff, H., Rockström, J., Jägermeyr, J., Kummu, M., Pastor, A. V. (2013): Towards a revised planetary boundary for consumptive freshwater use: role of environmental flow requirements. - Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 5, 6, 551-558
Database | 10.1016/j.cosust.2013.11.001 |
Gerten, D., Lucht, W., Ostberg, S., Heinke, J., Kowarsch, M., Kreft, H., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Rastgooy, J., Warren, R., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2013): Asynchronous exposure to global warming: freshwater resources and terrestrial ecosystems. - Environmental Research Letters, 8, 034032
Database | 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034032 | PDF
Goswami, B., Marwan, N., Feulner, G., Kurths, J. (2013): How do global temperature drivers influence each other?. - European Physical Journal - Special Topics, 222, 3-4, 861-873
Database | 10.1140/epjst/e2013-01889-8 |
Heinke, J., Ostberg, S., Schaphoff, S., Frieler, K., Müller, C., Gerten, D., Meinshausen, M., Lucht, W. (2013): A new climate dataset for systematic assessments of climate change impacts as a function of global warming. - Geoscientific Model Development, 6, 5, 1689-1703
Database | 10.5194/gmd-6-1689-2013 | PDF
Herzele, A. Van, Gobin, A., Gossum, P. Van, Acosta, L. A., Waas, T., Dendoncker, N., de Frahan, B. H. (2013): Effort for money? Farmers' rationale for participation in agri-environment measures with different implementation complexity. - Journal of Environmental Management, 131, 110-120
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Holden, P. B., Edwards, N. R., Gerten, D., Schaphoff, S. (2013): A model-based constraint of CO2 fertilisation. - Biogeosciences, 10, 1, 339-355
Database | 10.5194/bg-10-339-2013 | PDF
Huber, R., Rigling, A., Bebi, P., Brand, F. S., Briner, S., Buttler, A., Elkin, C., Gillet, F., Grêt-Regamey, A., Hirschi, C., Lischke, H., Scholz, R. W., Seidl, R., Spiegelberger, T., Walz, A., Zimmermann, W., Bugmann, H. (2013): Sustainable land use in mountain regions under global change: Synthesis across scales and disciplines. - Ecology and Society, 18, Art. 36
Database | 10.5751/ES-05499-180336 |
Huggel, C., Stone, D., Auffhammer, M., Hansen, G. (2013): Loss and damage attribution. - Nature Climate Change, 3, 8, 694-696
Database | 10.1038/nclimate1961 |
Joos, F., Roth, R., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Peters, G. P., Enting, I. G., von Bloh, W., Brovkin, V., Burke, E. J., Eby, M., Edwards, N. R., Friedrich, T., Frölicher, T. L., Halloran, P. R., Holden, P. B., Jones, C., Kleinen, T., Mackenzie, F. T., Matsumoto, K., Meinshausen, M., Plattner, G.-K., Reisinger, A., Segschneider, J., Shaffer, G., Steinacher, M., Strassmann, K., Tanaka, K., Timmermann, A., Weaver, A. J. (2013): Carbon dioxide and climate impulse response functions for the computation of greenhouse gas metrics: a multi-model analysis. - Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 13, 5, 2793-2825
Database | 10.5194/acp-13-2793-2013 | PDF
Kienert, H., Feulner, G., Petoukhov, V. (2013): Albedo and heat transport in 3-D model simulations of the early Archean climate. - Climate of the Past, 9, 4, 1841-1862
Database | 10.5194/cp-9-1841-2013 | PDF
Konzmann, M., Gerten, D., Heinke, J. (2013): Climate impacts on global irrigation requirements under 19 GCMs, simulated with a vegetation and hydrology model. - Hydrological Sciences Journal, 58, 1-18
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Langerwisch, F., Rost, S., Gerten, D., Poulter, B., Rammig, A., Cramer, W. (2013): Potential effects of climate change on inundation patterns in the Amazon basin. - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17, 6, 2247-2262
Database | 10.5194/hess-17-2247-2013 | PDF
Levermann, A., Clark, P. U., Marzeion, B., Milne, G. A., Pollard, D., Radic, V., Robinson, A. (2013): The multimillennial sea-level commitment of global warming. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 110, 34, 13745-13750
Database | 10.1073/pnas.1219414110 |
Lindeskog, M., Arneth, A., Bondeau, A., Waha, K., Seaquist, J., Olin, S., Smith, B. (2013): Implications of accounting for land use in simulations of ecosystem carbon cycling in Africa. - Earth System Dynamics, 4, 2, 385-407
Database | 10.5194/esd-4-385-2013 | PDF
Menon, A., Levermann, A., Schewe, J. (2013): Enhanced future variability during India's rainy season. - Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 12, 3242-3247
Database | 10.1002/grl.50583 | PDF
Menon, A., Levermann, A., Schewe, J., Lehmann, J., Frieler, K. (2013): Consistent increase in Indian monsoon rainfall and its variability across CMIP-5 models. - Earth System Dynamics, 4, 2, 287-300
Database | 10.5194/esd-4-287-2013 | PDF
Meyn, A., Schmidtlein, S., Taylor, S. W., Girardin, M. P., Thonicke, K., Cramer, W. (2013): Precipitation-driven decrease in wildfires in British Columbia. - Regional Environmental Change, 13, 1, 165-177
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Nowicki, S., Bindschadler, R. A., Abe-Ouchi, A., Aschwanden, A., Bueler, E., Choi, H., Fastook, J., Granzow, G., Greve, R., Gutowski, G., Herzfeld, U., Jackson, C., Johnson, J., Khroulev, C., Larour, E., Levermann, A., Lipscomb, W. H., Martin, M. A., Morlighem, M., Parizek, B. R., Pollard, D., Price, S. F., Ren, D., Rignot, E., Saito, F., Sato, T., Seddik, H., Seroussi, H., Takahashi, K., Walker, R., Wang, W. L. (2013): Insights into spatial sensitivities of ice mass response to environmental change from the SeaRISE ice sheet modeling project I: Antarctica. - Journal of Geophysical Research, F 118, 2, 1002-1024
Database | 10.1002/jgrf.20081 | PDF
Nowicki, S., Bindschadler, R. A., Abe-Ouchi, A., Aschwanden, A., Bueler, E., Choi, H., Fastook, J., Granzow, G., Greve, R., Gutowski, G., Herzfeld, U., Jackson, C., Johnson, J., Khroulev, C., Larour, E., Levermann, A., Lipscomb, W. H., Martin, M. A., Morlighem, M., Parizek, B. R., Pollard, D., Price, S. F., Ren, D., Rignot, E., Saito, F., Sato, T., Seddik, H., Seroussi, H., Takahashi, K., Walker, R., Wang, W. L. (2013): Insights into spatial sensitivities of ice mass response to environmental change from the SeaRISE ice sheet modeling project II: Greenland. - Journal of Geophysical Research, F 118, 2, 1025-1044
Database | 10.1002/jgrf.20076 | PDF
Olonscheck, D., Hofmann, M., Worm, B., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2013): Decomposing the effects of ocean warming on chlorophyll a concentrations into physically and biologically driven contributions. - Environmental Research Letters, 8, 014043
Database | 10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014043 | PDF
Ostberg, S., Lucht, W., Schaphoff, S., Gerten, D. (2013): Critical impacts of global warming on land ecosystems. - Earth System Dynamics, 4, 2, 347-357
Database | 10.5194/esd-4-347-2013 | PDF
Pachzelt, A., Rammig, A., Higgins, S., Hickler, T. (2013): Coupling a physiological grazer population model with a generalized model for vegetation dynamics. - Ecological Modelling, 263, 92-102
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Pattyn, F, Perichon, L., Durand, G., Favier, L., Gagliardini, O., Hindmarsh, R. C. A., Zwinger, T., Albrecht, T., Cornford, S., Docquier, D., Fürst, J. J., Goldberg, D., Gudmundsson, G. H., Humbert, A., Hütten, M., Huybrechts, P., Jouvet, G., Kleiner, T., Larour, E., Martin, D., Morlighem, M., Payne, A. J., Pollard, D., Rückamp, M., Rybak, O., Seroussi, H., Thoma, M., Wilkens, N. (2013): Grounding-line migration in plan-view marine ice-sheet models: results of the ice2sea MISMIP3d intercomparison. - Journal of Glaciology, 59, 215, 410-422
Database | 10.3189/2013JoG12J129 |
Perrette, M., Landerer, F., Riva, R., Frieler, K., Meinshausen, M. (2013): A scaling approach to project regional sea level rise and its uncertainties. - Earth System Dynamics, 4, 1, 11-29
Database | 10.5194/esd-4-11-2013 | PDF
Petoukhov, V., Rahmstorf, S., Petri, S., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2013): Quasiresonant amplification of planetary waves and recent Northern Hemisphere weather extremes. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 110, 14, 5336-5341
Database | 10.1073/pnas.1222000110 |
Petoukhov, V., Rahmstorf, S., Petri, S., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2013): Reply to Screen and Simmonds: From means to mechanisms. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 110, 26, E2328
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Radebach, A., Donner, R. V., Runge, J., Donges, J. F., Kurths, J. (2013): Disentangling different types of El Niño episodes by evolving climate network analysis. - Physical Review E, 88, 5 . 052807
Database | 10.1103/PhysRevE.88.052807 |
Reichstein, M., Bahn, M., Ciais, P., Frank, D., Mahecha, M. D., Seneviratne, S. I., Zscheischler, J., Beer, C., Buchmann, N., Frank, D. C., Papale, D., Rammig, A., Smith, P., Thonicke, K., Velde, M. van der, Vicca, S., Walz, A., Wattenbach, M. (2013): Climate extremes and the carbon cycle. - Nature, 500, 7462, 287-295
Database | 10.1038/nature12350 |
Reyer, C. P. O., Leuzinger, S., Rammig, A., Wolf, A., Bartholomeus, R. P., Bonfante, A., de Lorenzi, F., Dury, M., Gloning, P., Abou Jaoudé, R., Klein, T., Kuster, T. M., Martins, M., Niedrist, G., Riccardi, M., Wohlfahrt, G., de Angelis, P., de Dato, G., Francois, L., Menzel, A., Pereira, M. (2013): A plant's perspective of extremes: terrestrial plant responses to changing climatic variability. - Global Change Biology, 19, 1, 75-89
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Schaphoff, S., Heyder, U., Ostberg, S., Gerten, D., Heinke, J., Lucht, W. (2013): Contribution of permafrost soils to the global carbon budget. - Environmental Research Letters, 8, 014026
Database | 10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014026 | PDF
Schierhorn, F., Müller, D., Beringer, T., Prishchepov, A. V., Kümmerle, T., Balmann, A. (2013): Post-Soviet cropland abandonment and carbon sequestration in European Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus. - Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 27, 4, 1175-1185
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Schleussner, C. F., Feulner, G. (2013): A volcanically triggered regime shift in the subpolar North Atlantic Ocean as a possible origin of the Little Ice Age. - Climate of the Past, 9, 3, 1321-1330
Database | 10.5194/cp-9-1321-2013 | PDF
Schmitz, C., Lotze-Campen, H., Gerten, D., Dietrich, J. P., Bodirsky, B., Biewald, A., Popp, A. (2013): Blue water scarcity and the economic impacts of future agricultural trade and demand. - Water Resources Research, 49, 6, 3601-3617
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Stone, D., Auffhammer, M., Carey, M., Hansen, G., Huggel, C., Cramer, W., Lobell, D., Molau, U., Solow, A., Tibig, L., Yohe, G. (2013): The challenge to detect and attribute effects of climate change on human and natural systems. - Climatic Change, 121, 22, 381-395
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van Oijen, M., Beer, C., Cramer, W., Rammig, A., Reichstein, M., Rolinski, S., Soussana, J.-F. (2013): A novel probabilistic risk analysis to determine the vulnerability of ecosystems to extreme climatic events. - Environmental Research Letters, 8, 015032
Database | 10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/015032 | PDF
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Waha, K., Müller, C., Bondeau, A., Dietrich, J. P., Kurukulasuriya, P., Heinke, J., Lotze-Campen, H. (2013): Adaptation to climate change through the choice of cropping system and sowing date in sub-Saharan Africa. - Global Environmental Change, 23, 1, 130-143
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Warszawski, L., Friend, A., Ostberg, S., Frieler, K., Lucht, W., Schaphoff, S., Beerling, D., Cadule, P., Ciais, P., Clark, D. B:, Kahana, R., Ito, A., Keribin, R., Kleidon, A., Lomas, M., Nishina, K., Pavlick, R., Rademacher, T. T., Büchner, M., Piontek, F., Schewe, J., Serdeczny, O., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2013): A multi-model analysis of risk of ecosystem shifts under climate change. - Environmental Research Letters, 8, 044018
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Wiedermann, M., Donges, J. F., Heitzig, J., Kurths, J. (2013): Node-weighted interacting network measures improve the representation of real-world complex systems. - Europhysics Letters (epl), 102, 28007
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Willeit, M., Ganopolski, A., Feulner, G. (2013): On the effect of orbital forcing on mid-Pliocene climate, vegetation and ice sheets. - Climate of the Past, 9, 4, 1749-1759
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Winkelmann, R., Levermann, A. (2013): Linear response functions to project contributions to future sea level. - Climate Dynamics, 40, 2579-2588
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Zickfeld, K., Eby, M., Weaver, A. J., Alexander, K., Crespin, E., Edwards, N. R., Eliseev, A. V., Feulner, G., Fichefet, T., Forest, C. E., Friedlingstein, P., Goosse, H., Holden, P. B., Joos, F., Kawamiya, M., Kicklighter, D., Kienert, H., Matsumoto, K., Mokhov, I. I., Monier, E., Olsen, S. M., Pedersen, J. O. P., Perrette, M., Philippon-Berthier, G., Ridgwell, A., Schlosser, A., Schneider von Deimling, T., Shaffer, G., Sokolov, A., Spahni, R., Steinacher, M., Tachiiri, K., Tokos, K. S., Yoshimori, M., Zeng, N., Zhao, F. (2013): Long-term climate change commitment and reversibility: An EMIC intercomparison. - Journal of Climate, 26, 16, 5782-5809
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Adrian, R., Gerten, D., Huber, V., Wagner, C., Schmidt, S. R. (2012): Windows of change: temporal scale of analysis is decisive to detect ecosystem responses to climate change. - Marine Biology, 159, 11, 2533-2542
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Albrecht, T., Levermann, A. (2012): Fracture field for large-scale ice dynamics. - Journal of Glaciology, 58, 207, 165-176
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Alcantara, C., Kümmerle, T., Prishchepov, A. V., Radeloff, V. C. (2012): Mapping abandoned agriculture with multi-temporal MODIS satellite data. - Remote Sensing of Environment, 124, 334-347
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Alix-Garcia, J., Kümmerle, T., Radeloff, V. C. (2012): Prices, land tenure institutions, and geography: a matching analysis of farmland abandonment in Post-Socialist Eastern Europe. - Land Economics, 88, 3, 425-443
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Baumann, M., Ozdogan, M., Kümmerle, T., Wendland, K. J., Esipova, E., Radeloff, V. C. (2012): Using the Landsat record to detect forest-cover changes during and after the collapse of the Soviet Union in the temperate zone of European Russia. - Remote Sensing of Environment, 124, 174-184
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Brandt, J. S., Kuemmerle, T., Li, H., Ren, G., Zhu, J., Radeloff, V. C. (2012): Using Landsat imagery to map forest change in southwest China in response to the national logging ban and ecotourism development. - Remote Sensing of Environment, 121, 358-369
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Brovkin, V., Ganopolski, A., Archer, D., Munhoven, G. (2012): Glacial CO2 cycle as a succession of key physical and biogeochemical processes. - Climate of the Past, 8, 1, 251-264
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Butsic, V., Radeloff, V. C., Kümmerle, T., Pidgeon, A. (2012): Analytical solutions to trade-offs between size of protected areas and land-use intensity. - Conservation Biology, 26, 5, 883-893
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Coumou, D., Rahmstorf, S. (2012): A decade of weather extremes. - Nature Climate Change, 2, 7, 491-496
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Cuntz, M., von Bloh, W., Schröder, K.-P., Bounama, C., Franck, S. (2012): Habitability of super-Earth planets around main-sequence stars including red giant branch evolution: models based on the integrated system approach. - International Journal of Astrobiology, 11, 1, 15-23
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Feulner, G. (2012): The faint young Sun problem. - Reviews of Geophysics, 50, RG2006
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Fischer, J., Hartel, T., Kümmerle, T. (2012): Conservation policy in traditional farming landscapes. - Conservation Letters, 5, 3, 167-175
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Forkel, M., Thonicke, K., Beer, C., Cramer, W., Bartalev, S., Schmullius, C. (2012): Extreme fire events are related to previous-year surface moisture conditions in permafrost-underlain larch forests of Siberia. - Environmental Research Letters, 7, 044021
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Frieler, K., Meinshausen, M., Mengel, M., Braun, N., Hare, W. (2012): A scaling approach to probabilistic assessment of regional climate change. - Journal of Climate, 25, 9, 3117-3144
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Huber, V., Wagner, C., Gerten, D., Adrian, R. (2012): To bloom or not to bloom: contrasting responses of cyanobacteria to recent heat waves explained by critical thresholds of abiotic drivers. - Oecologia, 169, 1, 245-256
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Kienert, H., Rahmstorf, S. (2012): On the relation between Meridional Overturning Circulation and sea-level gradients in the Atlantic. - Earth System Dynamics, 3, 2, 109-120
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Kümmerle, T., Hickler, T., Olofsson, J., Schurgers, G., Radeloff, V. C. (2012): Reconstructing range dynamics and range fragmentation of European bison for the last 8000 years. - Diversity and Distributions, 18, 1, 47-59
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Levermann, A., Albrecht, T., Winkelmann, R., Martin, M. A., Haseloff, M., Joughin, I. (2012): Kinematic first-order calving law implies potential for abrupt ice-shelf retreat. - The Cryosphere, 6, 273-286
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Lohmann, D., Tietjen, B., Blaum, N., Joubert, D. F., Jeltsch, F. (2012): Shifting thresholds and changing degradation patterns: climate change effects on the simulated long-term response of a semi-arid savanna to grazing. - Journal of Applied Ecology, 49, 4, 814-823
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Mengel, M., Levermann, A., Schleussner, C.-F., Born, A. (2012): Enhanced Atlantic subpolar gyre variability through baroclinic threshold in a coarse resolution model. - Earth System Dynamics, 3, 2, 189-197
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Pagel, J., Schurr, F. M. (2012): Forecasting species ranges by statistical estimation of ecological niches and spatial population dynamics. - Global Ecology and Biogeography, 21, 2, 293-304
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Piquer-Rodríguez, M., Kümmerle, T., Alcaraz-Segura, D., Zurita-Milla, R., Cabello, J. (2012): Future land use effects on the connectivity of protected area networks in southeastern Spain. - Journal of Nature Conservation, 20, 6, 326-336
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Popp, A., Krause, M., Dietrich, J. P., Lotze-Campen, H., Leimbach, M., Beringer, T., Bauer, N. (2012): Additional CO2 emissions from land use change - forest conservation as a precondition for sustainable production of second generation bioenergy. - Ecological Economics, 74, 64-70
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Prishchepov, A. V., Radeloff, V. C., Baumann, M., Kümmerle, T., Müller, D. (2012): Effects of institutional changes on land use: agricultural land abandonment during the transition from state-command to market-driven economies in post-Soviet Eastern Europe. - Environmental Research Letters, 7, 024021
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Rahmstorf, S. (2012): If 2013 breaks heat record, how will deniers respond? - [Opinion]. - New Scientist, 215, 2880, 24-25
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Rahmstorf, S. (2012): Is journalism failing on climate?. - Environmental Research Letters, 7, 041003
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Rahmstorf, S. (2012): Sea-level rise: towards understanding local vulnerability. - Environmental Research Letters, 7, 021001
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Rahmstorf, S., Perrette, M., Vermeer, M. (2012): Testing the robustness of semi-empirical sea level projections. - Climate Dynamics, 39, 861-875
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Reyer, C., Bachinger, J., Bloch, R., Hattermann, F. F., Ibisch, P. L., Kreft, S., Lasch, P., Lucht, W., Nowicki, C., Spathelf, P., Stock, M., Welp, M. (2012): Climate change adaptation and sustainable regional development: a case study for the Federal State of Brandenburg, Germany. - Regional Environmental Change, 12, 3, 523-542
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Robinson, A., Calov, R., Ganopolski, A. (2012): Multistability and critical thresholds of the Greenland ice sheet. - Nature Climate Change, 2, 6, 429-432
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Runge, J., Heitzig, J., Petoukhov, V., Kurths, J. (2012): Escaping the curse of dimensionality in estimating multivariate transfer entropy. - Physical Review Letters, 108, 258701
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Schaeffer, M., Hare, W., Rahmstorf, S., Vermeer, M. (2012): Long-term sea-level rise implied by 1.5 ,°C and 2 ,°C warming levels. - Nature Climate Change, 2, 12, 867-870
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Schewe, J., Levermann, A. (2012): A statistically predictive model for future monsoon failure in India. - Environmental Research Letters, 7, 044023
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Schewe, J., Levermann, A., Cheng, H. (2012): A critical humidity threshold for monsoon transitions. - Climate of the Past, 8, 535-544
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Schneider von Deimling, T., Meinshausen, M., Levermann, A., Huber, V., Frieler, K., Lawrence, D. M., Brovkin, V. (2012): Estimating the near-surface permafrost-carbon feedback on global warming. - Biogeosciences, 9, 2, 649-665
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von Wehrden, H., Fischer, J., Brandt, P., Wagner, V., Kümmerer, K., Kümmerle, T., Nagel, A., Olsson, O., Hostert, P. (2012): Consequences of nuclear accidents for biodiversity and ecosystem services. - Conservation Letters, 5, 2, 81-89
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Werner, C., Schnyder, H., Cuntz, M., Keitel, C., Zeeman, M. J., Dawson, T. E., Badeck, F.-W., Brugnoli, E., Ghashghaie, J., Grams, T. E. E., Kayler, Z. E., Lakatos, M., Lee, X., Máguas, C., Ogée, J., Rascher, K. G., Siegwolf, R. T. W., Unger, S., Welker, J., Wingate, L., Gessler, A. (2012): Progress and challenges in using stable isotopes to trace plant carbon and water relations across scales. - Biogeosciences, 9, 8, 3083-3111
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Winkelmann, R., Levermann, A., Frieler, K., Martin, M. A. (2012): Uncertainty in future solid ice discharge from Antarctica. - The Cryosphere, 6, 1, 673-714
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Winkelmann, R., Levermann, A., Martin, M. A., Frieler, K. (2012): Increased future ice discharge from Antarctica owing to higher snowfall. - Nature, 492, 7428, 239-242
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Ziół,kowska, E., Ostapowicz, K., Kümmerle, T., Perzanowski, K., Radeloff, V. C., Kozak, J. (2012): Potential habitat connectivity of European bison (Bison bonasus) in the Carpathians. - Biological Conservation, 146, 1, 188-196
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Acosta-Michlik, L., Lucht, W., Bondeau, A., Beringer, T. (2011): Integrated assessment of sustainability trade-offs and pathways for global bioenergy production: Framing a novel hybrid approach. - Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 15, 2791-2809
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Albrecht, T., Martin, M. A., Haseloff, M., Winkelmann, R., Levermann, A. (2011): Parameterization for subgrid-scale motion of ice-shelf calving-fronts. - The Cryosphere, 5, 1, 35-44
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Álvarez-Solas, J., Montoya, M., Ritz, C., Ramstein, G., Charbit, S., Dumas, C., Nisancioglu, K., Dokken, T., Ganopolski, A. (2011): Heinrich event 1: an example of dynamical ice-sheet reaction to oceanic changes. - Climate of the Past, 7, 4, 1297-1306
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Andreev, A. A., Schirrmeister, L., Tarasov, P. E., Ganopolski, A., Brovkin, V., Siegert, C., Wetterich, S., Hubberten, H.-W. (2011): Vegetation and climate history in the Laptev Sea region (Arctic Siberia) during Late Quaternary inferred from pollen records. - Quaternary Science Reviews, 30, 17-18, 2182-2199
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Baumann, M., Kümmerle, T., Elbakidze, M., Ozdogan, M., Radeloff, V. C., Keuler, N. S., Prishchepov, A. V., Kruhlov, I., Hostert, P. (2011): Patterns and drivers of post-socialist farmland abandonment in Western Ukraine. - Land Use Policy, 28, 3, 552-562
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Beringer, T., Lucht, W., Schaphoff, S. (2011): Bioenergy production potential of global biomass plantations under environmental and agricultural constraints. - Global Change Biology Bioenergy, 3, 4, 299-312
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Biemans, H., Haddeland, I., Kabat, P., Ludwig, F., Hutjes, R. W. A., Heinke, J., von Bloh, W., Gerten, D. (2011): Impact of reservoirs on river discharge and irrigation water supply during the 20th century. - Water Resources Research, 47, W03509
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Born, A., Nisancioglu, K. H., Risebrobakken, B. (2011): Late Eemian warming in the Nordic Seas as seen in proxy data and climate models. - Paleoceanography, 26, PA2207
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Brüggemann, N., Gessler, A., Kayler, Z., Keel, S. G., Badeck, F., Barthel, M., Boeckx, P., Buchmann, N., Brugnoli, E., Esperschütz, J., Gavrichkova, O., Ghashghaie, J., Gomez-Casanovas, N., Keitel, C., Knohl, A., Kuptz, D., Palacio, S., Salmon, Y., Uchida, Y., Bahn, M. (2011): Carbon allocation and carbon isotope fluxes in the plant-soil-atmosphere continuum: a review. - Biogeosciences, 8, 11, 3457-3489
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Costa, L., Thonicke, K., Poulter, B., Badeck, F.-W. (2011): Sensitivity of Portuguese forest fires to climatic, human, and landscape variables: subnational differences between fire drivers in extreme fire years and decadal averages. - Regional Environmental Change, 11, 543-551
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Coumou, D., Petoukhov, V., Eliseev, A. V. (2011): Three-dimensional parameterizations of the synoptic scale kinetic energy and momentum flux in the Earth’s atmosphere. - Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 18, 6, 807-827
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Fader, M., Gerten, D., Thammer, M., Heinke, J., Lotze-Campen, H., Lucht, W., Cramer, W. (2011): Internal and external green-blue agricultural water footprints of nations, and related water and land savings through trade. - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15, 5, 1641-1660
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Feulner, G. (2011): Are the most recent estimates for Maunder Minimum solar irradiance in agreement with temperature reconstructions?. - Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L16706
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Feulner, G. (2011): Comment on 'Strong signature of the active Sun in 100 years of terrestrial insolation data' by Werner Weber. - Annalen der Physik, 523, 11, 946-950
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Feulner, G. (2011): Limits to biodiversity cycles from a unified model of mass-extinction events. - International Journal of Astrobiology, 10, 2, 123-129
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Feulner, G. (2011): The Smithsonian solar constant data revisited: no evidence for a strong effect of solar activity in ground-based insolation data. - Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 11, 7, 3291-3301
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Ganopolski, A., Calov, R. (2011): The role of orbital forcing, carbon dioxide and regolith in 100 kyr glacial cycles. - Climate of the Past, 7, 4, 1415-1425
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Ganopolski, A., Robinson, A. (2011): Palaeoclimate: the past is not the future. - Nature Geoscience, 4, 10, 662-663
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Hoff, H., Bonzi, C., Joyce, B., Tielbörger, K. (2011): A water resources planning tool for the Jordan river basin. - Water, 3, 3, 718-736
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Hofmann, M., Worm, B., Rahmstorf, S., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2011): Declining ocean chlorophyll under unabated anthropogenic CO2 emissions. - Environmental Research Letters, 6, 034035
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Hostert, P., Kümmerle, T., Prishchepov, A., Sieber, A., Lambin, E. F., Radeloff, V. C. (2011): Rapid land use change after socio-economic disturbances: the collapse of the Soviet Union versus Chernobyl. - Environmental Research Letters, 6, 045201
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Kytzia, S., Walz, A., Wegmann, M. (2011): How can tourism use land more efficiently? A model-based approach to land-use efficiency for tourist destinations. - Tourism Management, 32, 629-640
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Levermann, A. (2011): Oceanography: When glacial giants roll over. - Nature, 472, 7341, 43-44
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Lucht, W. (2011): Book review: Marc Languy and Emmanuel de Merode (Eds.): Virunga - the survival of Africa's first National Park. - Nature, 475, 7354, 33-33
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Popp, A., Dietrich, J. P., Lotze-Campen, H., Klein, D., Bauer, N., Krause, M., Beringer, T., Gerten, D., Edenhofer, O. (2011): The economic potential of bioenergy for climate change mitigation with special attention given to implications for the land system. - Environmental Research Letters, 6, 034017
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Rahmstorf, S., Coumou, D. (2011): Increase of extreme events in a warming world. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 108, 44, 17905-17909
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Rahmstorf, S., Vermeer, M. (2011): Discussion of: Houston, J.R. and Dean, R.G., 2011. Sea-Level Acceleration Based on U.S. Tide Gauges and Extensions of Previous Global-Gauge Analyses. Journal of Coastal Research, 27(3), 409–417. - Journal of Coastal Research, 27, 4, 784-787
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Robinson, A., Calov, R., Ganopolski, A. (2011): Greenland ice sheet model parameters constrained using simulations of the Eemian Interglacial. - Climate of the Past, 7, 2, 381-396
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Romanova, V., Köhl, A., Stammer, D. (2011): Seasonal cycle of near surface freshwater budget in the western tropical Atlantic. - Journal of Geophysical Research, C 116, 07009
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Schiffers, K., Tielbörger, K., Tietjen, B., Jeltsch, F. (2011): Root plasticity buffers competition among plants: theory meets experimental data. - Ecology, 92, 3, 610-620
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Schleußner, C. F., Frieler, K., Meinshausen, M., Yin, J., Levermann, A. (2011): Emulating Atlantic overturning strength for low emission scenarios: consequences for sea-level rise along the North American east coast. - Earth System Dynamics, 2, 2, 191-200
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Schueler, V., Kümmerle, T., Schroeder, H. (2011): Impacts of surface gold mining on land use systems in Western Ghana. - Ambio, 40, 5, 528-539
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von Bloh, W., Cuntz, M, Franck, S., Bounama, C. (2011): Habitability of the Goldilocks planet Gliese 581g: results from geodynamic models. - Astronomy and Astrophysics, 528, A133
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Born, A., Levermann, A. (2010): The 8.2 ka event: abrupt transition of the subpolar gyre toward a modern North Atlantic circulation. - Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems (G3), 11, Q06011
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Feulner, G., Rahmstorf, S. (2010): On the effect of a new grand minimum of solar activity on the future climate on Earth. - Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L05707
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van Vuuren, D. P., Meinshausen, M., Plattner, G.-K., Joos, F., Strassmann, K. M., Smith, S. J., Wigley, T. M. L., Raper, S. C. B., Riahi, K., de la Chesnaye, F., den Elzen, M. G. J., Fujino, J., Jiang, K., Nakicenovic, N., Paltsev, S., Reilly, J. M. (2008): Temperature increase of 21st century mitigation scenarios. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 105, 40, 15258-15262
Database | 10.1073/pnas.0711129105 | PDF
von Bloh, W., Bounama, C., Eisenack, K., Knopf, B., Walkenhorst, O. (2008): Estimating the biogenic enhancement factor of weathering using an inverse viability method. - Ecological Modelling, 216, 2, 245-251
Database | 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.03.005 |
Brovkin, V., Ganopolski, A., Archer, D., Rahmstorf, S. (2007): Lowering of glacial atmospheric CO2 in response to changes in oceanic circulation and marine biogeochemistry. - Paleoceanography, 22, PA4202
Database | 10.1029/2006PA001380 | PDF
Franck, S., Bounama, C., von Bloh, W. (2007): Dynamical habitability of extrasolar planetary systems. - Astrobiology, 7, 3, 482-482
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Haberl, H., Erb, K.H., Krausmann, F., Gaube, V., Bondeau, A., Plutzar, C., Gingrich, S., Lucht, W., Fischer-Kowalski, M. (2007): Quantifying and mapping the human appropriation of net primary production in the Earth's terrestrial ecosystems. - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 104, 31, 12942-12947
Database | 10.1073/pnas.0704243104 |
Munhoven, G., Brovkin, V., Ganopolski, A., Archer, D. (2007): Impact of future Greenland deglaciation on global weathering fluxes and atmospheric CO2. - Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta, 71, 15, A695-A695
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Rahmstorf, S., Cazenave, A., Church, J.A., Hansen, J.E., Keeling, R.F., Parker, D.E., Somerville, R.C.J. (2007): Recent climate observations compared to projections. - Science, 316, 5825, 709-709
Database | 10.1126/science.1136843 |
Zickfeld, K., Levermann, A., Morgan, M. G., Kuhlbrodt, T., Rahmstorf, S., Keith, D. W. (2007): Expert judgement on the response of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to climate change. - Climatic Change, 82, 3-4, 235-265
Database | 10.1007/s10584-007-9246-3 |